APIs & SDKs
BullrunData
Real-time recession probability and institutional-grade real estate market intelligence API
REST API and MCP server providing recession probability models, multifamily and real estate cycle analysis, sector rotation signals, and macro indicators for
Overview
The BullrunData homepage
BullrunData is a market intelligence API serving institutional investors, fintech developers, AI agents, and quantitative traders. It provides 10 proprietary composite models including recession probability, housing cycle, multifamily cycle, refi window timing, CRE stress, cap rate direction, DSCR sensitivity, rent-to-price divergence, institutional positioning overlay, and capital rotation analysis. The platform delivers live S&P sector rotation signals, CFTC institutional positioning intelligence, and a full library of macro indicators via REST API or MCP server.
The recession probability model combines yield curve dynamics, labor-market signals (Sahm Rule), initial jobless claims, high-yield credit spreads, and financial conditions, with dynamic weight adjustments based on current Fed policy stance and market regime. Eight proprietary real-estate models serve multifamily investors and underwriting desks with institutional-grade analysis.
Data refreshes frequently: recession probability and economic indicators refresh every 6 hours with snapshot history for backtesting, while institutional positioning follows standard weekly release cadence and sector rotation is computed live on every request. The API includes 25 REST endpoints and 34 MCP tools for AI agents.
Capabilities
- 10 proprietary composite models (recession, housing cycle, multifamily cycle, refi window, CRE stress, cap rate direction, DSCR sensitivity, positioning overlay, rent-to-price divergence, capital rota
- Real-time recession probability with 15-component leading-indicator model
- Multifamily cycle classification (accumulate/trim/hold/distress entry/distress deepening)
- Per-deal DSCR sensitivity under Fed rate scenarios (+/- 25/50/75/100 bps)
- Cap rate direction modeling without paid CoStar/RCA feeds
- Refi window timing with Fed rate scenarios for 30Y mortgages
- CRE stress composite with early-warning distress signals
- Institutional positioning overlay combining CFTC data with rate mechanics
Pricing
Free: $0, 100 API calls per day, macro indicators, sector rotation, CFTC positioning, 10 webhook alerts. Pro: $29/month, 10,000 API calls per day, 10 proprietary composite models, 5-year historical data, 50 webhook alerts, email support. Enterprise: $99/month, 100,000 API calls per day, 20-year hist
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BullrunData fact sheet
| Community votes | 0 |
|---|---|
| Founded | 2025 |
| Stage | Startup |
| Website | bullrundata.com |
BullrunData metrics
Vendor metrics for bullrundata.com: Ahrefs Domain Rating and Majestic link data, with the delta since the last review.
- Domain Rating
- 11
- no change since last check
- Trust Flow
- 7
- no change since last check
- Citation Flow
- 25
- no change since last check
- Referring domains
- 41
- no change since last check
- External backlinks
- 2,494
- no change since last check
Vendor Domain Rating (Ahrefs) checked 6 Nov 2026, spec changed 25 Oct 2026. Vendor topic: Computers/Internet/On the Web (7). Vendor Majestic data checked 25 Oct 2026, spec changed 25 Oct 2026. Link metrics supplied by Majestic. Trust Flow, Citation Flow and Topical Trust Flow are trademarks of Majestic-12 Ltd.
BullrunData vendor domain
Open the vendor record
We read this from the registry's RDAP record on 6 Nov 2026, 03:43 UTC.
- Domain age
- 7 months
- Registered
- Expires
- Registrar
- NameCheap, Inc.
- DNSSEC
- Not signed
BullrunData post-launch report
| Measure | At launch, then latest |
|---|---|
| Domain Rating (Ahrefs) | 11 to 11 no change since launch 25 Oct 2026, then 6 Nov 2026 |
| Trust Flow (Majestic) | 7 first measured 25 Oct 2026 |
| Referring domains (Majestic) | 41 first measured 25 Oct 2026 |
Day 11 since launch. Next receipt: day 30, 24 Nov 2026. Many things move these figures, so a change is not proof of cause. Only stored readings are shown.
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Buyer questions
How does BullrunData calculate recession probability?
A proprietary weighted model combining yield curve dynamics, labor-market signals (Sahm Rule), initial jobless claims, high-yield credit spreads, and financial conditions, with dynamic weight adjustments based on current Fed policy stance (tightening, easing, neutral, or crisis) and market regime (early cycle, mid cycle, late cycle, or recession). The yield curve component alone has preceded every U.S. recession since 1955 with a 6-to-24 month lead time.
What real-estate and multifamily models does BullrunData offer?
Eight proprietary real-estate models: housing_cycle (owner-occupied single-family regime), multifamily_cycle (institutional MF regime with accumulate/trim/hold/distress-entry/distress-deepening signals), refi_window (debt-timing signal with Fed rate scenarios), cre_stress (CRE distress composite), rent_price_divergence (leading MF NOI signal), cap_rate_direction (cap rate compression or expansion modeling without paid feeds), debt_coverage_sensitivity (per-deal DSCR under Fed rate scenarios), and institutional_positioning_overlay (contrarian entries combining CFTC positioning with rate mechanics). Built for institutional multifamily investors, underwriting desks, and real-estate focused AI agents.
Can I use BullrunData with AI agents and MCP?
Yes. The MCP server plugs directly into Claude, ChatGPT, and custom LLM applications. Install locally with npx @bullrundata/market-intelligence-mcp or connect to the hosted endpoint at market.bullrundata.com/mcp. MCP is the standard protocol for exposing structured tool interfaces to LLMs.
How often is the data updated?
Recession probability and economic indicators refresh every 6 hours with snapshot history retained for backtesting. Institutional positioning follows the standard weekly release cadence. Sector rotation is computed live on every request.
What can I get from the BullrunData API?
Live recession probability, 10 proprietary composite models (recession, housing + multifamily cycle, refi window timing, CRE stress, cap rate direction, DSCR sensitivity, positioning overlay, rent-to-price divergence, capital rotation), market regime and Fed stance detection, sector rotation signals, institutional positioning intelligence, one-call market summaries, threshold-based webhook alerts, and macro indicators — all behind one API key. Full endpoint reference at bullrundata.com/docs.
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